Tondela vs Alverca result and stats
Win probability: home 36%, draw 28%, away 35%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersTondela and Alverca drew 1–1 in the Primeira Liga on Friday 13 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Tondela 36%, the draw 28% and Alverca 35%, so a draw had a 28% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
TOAL
18Shots10
4On target4
11Corners5
14Fouls10
5Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Tondela
D @ Estoril2–2 · 7 Feb
D v Benfica0–0 · 1 Feb
L @ Famalicão0–3 · 25 Jan
L v Sp Braga0–1 · 18 Jan
L @ Moreirense0–1 · 11 Jan
Alverca
L @ Benfica1–2 · 8 Feb
D v Estrela1–1 · 31 Jan
L @ Sp Braga0–5 · 25 Jan
W v Moreirense2–1 · 17 Jan
W v Famalicão1–0 · 4 Jan
Head to head
In 1 league meeting since 2025, Tondela won 0, Alverca won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 12 Sep 2025, finished Alverca 1–0 Tondela, a win for Alverca.
Alverca 1–0 Tondela12 Sep 2025