Tondela vs Arouca result and stats
Win probability: home 27%, draw 26%, away 47%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersTondela beat Arouca 3–1 at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 3 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Tondela 27%, the draw 26% and Arouca 47%, so a home win had a 27% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
TOAR
5Shots11
3On target4
2Corners9
12Fouls7
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals1
Recent form
Tondela
L v Casa Pia1–2 · 21 Dec
L @ Nacional1–3 · 15 Dec
L v Porto0–2 · 7 Dec
W @ Gil Vicente1–0 · 29 Nov
L v Vitória SC0–1 · 8 Nov
Arouca
D v Gil Vicente2–2 · 28 Dec
D @ Santa Clara0–0 · 21 Dec
W v Alverca1–0 · 14 Dec
L @ Estrela1–3 · 7 Dec
L v Sp Braga0–4 · 1 Dec
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2021, Tondela won 0, Arouca won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 19 Mar 2022, was a 2–2 draw.
Tondela 2–2 Arouca19 Mar 2022
Arouca 2–0 Tondela29 Oct 2021