Tondela vs Estoril result and stats
Win probability: home 23%, draw 24%, away 53%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersTondela and Estoril drew 2–2 in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 31 August 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Tondela 23%, the draw 24% and Estoril 53%, so a draw had a 24% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
TOES
14Shots21
4On target5
3Corners4
8Fouls11
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Tondela
L @ Benfica0–3 · 23 Aug
L v Famalicão0–1 · 16 Aug
L @ Sp Braga0–3 · 10 Aug
D v Boavista2–2 · 14 May
L @ Gil Vicente0–3 · 8 May
Estoril
L @ Vitória SC2–3 · 16 Aug
D v Estrela1–1 · 11 Aug
W v Estrela4–0 · 17 May
D @ Moreirense2–2 · 11 May
L v Benfica1–2 · 3 May
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2021, Tondela won 0, Estoril won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 12 Feb 2022, finished Estoril 1–0 Tondela, a win for Estoril.
Estoril 1–0 Tondela12 Feb 2022
Tondela 1–2 Estoril13 Sep 2021