Tondela vs Moreirense result and stats
Win probability: home 29%, draw 28%, away 43%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersTondela beat Moreirense 2–0 at home in the Primeira Liga on Monday 11 May 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Tondela 29%, the draw 28% and Moreirense 43%, so a home win had a 29% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
TOMO
14Shots10
3On target2
1Corners8
14Fouls9
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Tondela
W @ Casa Pia1–0 · 3 May
D @ Sporting CP2–2 · 29 Apr
L v Nacional0–2 · 25 Apr
L @ Porto0–2 · 19 Apr
D v Gil Vicente2–2 · 13 Apr
Moreirense
W v Estrela3–2 · 2 May
L @ Benfica1–4 · 25 Apr
W v Estoril1–0 · 20 Apr
D @ Famalicão1–1 · 10 Apr
L v Sp Braga0–1 · 4 Apr
Head to head
In 3 league meetings since 2022, Tondela won 1, Moreirense won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Jan 2026, finished Moreirense 1–0 Tondela, a win for Moreirense.
Moreirense 1–0 Tondela11 Jan 2026
Moreirense 2–0 Tondela16 Apr 2022
Tondela 2–1 Moreirense3 Jan 2022