Tondela vs Nacional result and stats
Win probability: home 28%, draw 29%, away 43%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersNacional won 2–0 away at Tondela in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 25 April 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Tondela 28%, the draw 29% and Nacional 43%, so an away win had a 43% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
TONA
22Shots17
5On target6
8Corners7
16Fouls15
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals2
Recent form
Tondela
L @ Porto0–2 · 19 Apr
D v Gil Vicente2–2 · 13 Apr
L @ Vitória SC0–5 · 3 Apr
D v AVS0–0 · 21 Mar
L v Rio Ave0–1 · 9 Mar
Nacional
W v Alverca1–0 · 18 Apr
L @ Benfica0–2 · 12 Apr
W v Estrela2–0 · 4 Apr
L @ Famalicão0–1 · 21 Mar
L v Estoril0–1 · 15 Mar
Head to head
In 1 league meeting since 2025, Tondela won 0, Nacional won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Dec 2025, finished Nacional 3–1 Tondela, a win for Nacional.
Nacional 3–1 Tondela15 Dec 2025