Tondela vs Rio Ave result and stats
Win probability: home 36%, draw 29%, away 35%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersRio Ave won 1–0 away at Tondela in the Primeira Liga on Monday 9 March 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Tondela 36%, the draw 29% and Rio Ave 35%, so an away win had a 35% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
TORA
6Shots9
2On target2
3Corners2
15Fouls14
0Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Tondela
D v Santa Clara2–2 · 1 Mar
W @ Estrela2–0 · 20 Feb
D v Alverca1–1 · 13 Feb
D @ Estoril2–2 · 7 Feb
D v Benfica0–0 · 1 Feb
Rio Ave
D v Famalicão0–0 · 1 Mar
L @ Porto0–1 · 22 Feb
L v Moreirense1–2 · 16 Feb
L @ Sp Braga0–3 · 8 Feb
L v Arouca0–3 · 31 Jan
Head to head
In 1 league meeting since 2025, Tondela won 0, Rio Ave won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 5 Oct 2025, finished Rio Ave 3–0 Tondela, a win for Rio Ave.
Rio Ave 3–0 Tondela5 Oct 2025