Vitória SC vs Alverca result and stats
Win probability: home 59%, draw 23%, away 19%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersVitória SC and Alverca drew 1–1 in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 28 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Vitória SC 59%, the draw 23% and Alverca 19%, so a draw had a 23% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
VIAL
15Shots11
6On target5
0Corners11
16Fouls5
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Vitória SC
L @ Sp Braga2–3 · 21 Feb
W v Estrela2–1 · 14 Feb
L @ Arouca2–3 · 7 Feb
W v Moreirense1–0 · 30 Jan
L @ Estoril2–4 · 24 Jan
Alverca
D v Santa Clara1–1 · 21 Feb
D @ Tondela1–1 · 13 Feb
L @ Benfica1–2 · 8 Feb
D v Estrela1–1 · 31 Jan
L @ Sp Braga0–5 · 25 Jan
Head to head
In 1 league meeting since 2025, Vitória SC won 0, Alverca won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Sep 2025, finished Alverca 2–0 Vitória SC, a win for Alverca.
Alverca 2–0 Vitória SC28 Sep 2025