GossipBall
Primeira LigaSaturday 30 August 2025 ·

Vitória SC vs Arouca result and stats

54%
test home win
1–1
full time
23%
draw
23%
test away win
Win probability: home 54%, draw 23%, away 23%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Vitória SC and Arouca drew 1–1 in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 30 August 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Vitória SC 54%, the draw 23% and Arouca 23%, so a draw had a 23% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

VIAR
12
Shots
9
3
On target
3
2
Corners
2
15
Fouls
17
4
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
1

Recent form

Vitória SC
L @ Moreirense0–2 · 23 Aug
W v Estoril3–2 · 16 Aug
L @ Porto0–3 · 11 Aug
L @ Sporting CP0–2 · 17 May
L v Farense1–2 · 11 May
Arouca
D v Rio Ave3–3 · 23 Aug
L @ Sporting CP0–6 · 17 Aug
W v AVS3–1 · 9 Aug
W v Boavista4–1 · 17 May
D @ Gil Vicente1–1 · 10 May

Head to head

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Vitória SC won 3, Arouca won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2025, was a 2–2 draw.

Vitória SC 2–2 Arouca18 Jan 2025
Arouca 0–1 Vitória SC12 Aug 2024
Arouca 1–3 Vitória SC18 May 2024
Vitória SC 2–1 Arouca15 Jan 2024
Vitória SC 0–2 Arouca11 Mar 2023
Arouca 2–2 Vitória SC18 Sep 2022

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]