Vitória SC vs Estrela result and stats
Win probability: home 58%, draw 23%, away 18%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersVitória SC beat Estrela 2–1 at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 14 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Vitória SC 58%, the draw 23% and Estrela 18%, so a home win had a 58% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
VIES
20Shots7
6On target4
9Corners2
13Fouls18
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Vitória SC
L @ Arouca2–3 · 7 Feb
W v Moreirense1–0 · 30 Jan
L @ Estoril2–4 · 24 Jan
L v Porto0–1 · 18 Jan
W v Nacional2–1 · 2 Jan
Estrela
W v Santa Clara1–0 · 7 Feb
D @ Alverca1–1 · 31 Jan
L @ Benfica0–4 · 25 Jan
L v Estoril0–5 · 19 Jan
D v Sp Braga3–3 · 3 Jan
Head to head
In 5 league meetings since 2023, Vitória SC won 4, Estrela won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 14 Sep 2025, finished Estrela 0–2 Vitória SC, a win for Vitória SC.
Estrela 0–2 Vitória SC14 Sep 2025
Vitória SC 2–0 Estrela16 Mar 2025
Estrela 2–2 Vitória SC27 Oct 2024
Vitória SC 3–0 Estrela21 Jan 2024
Estrela 0–1 Vitória SC13 Aug 2023