Kilmarnock vs Dundee United result and stats
Win probability: home 45%, draw 25%, away 30%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersDundee United won 4–0 away at Kilmarnock in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 29 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Kilmarnock 45%, the draw 25% and Dundee United 30%, so an away win had a 30% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Kilmarnock 1.03, Dundee United 3.51, so Dundee United created the better chances. Kilmarnock had 16 shots (4 on target) to Dundee United's 21 (8 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
KIDU
1.03Expected goals3.51
16Shots21
4On target8
3Corners5
11Fouls12
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals3
Referee: N Walsh
Recent form
Kilmarnock
L v Celtic1–5 · 9 Aug
L @ St Johnstone3–4 · 2 Aug
W @ Livingston4–1 · 17 May
W v Dundee3–1 · 12 May
W @ St Mirren3–0 · 9 May
Dundee United
L v Dundee0–2 · 22 Aug
L @ Hearts0–4 · 9 Aug
D v Rangers1–1 · 31 Jul
D @ St Mirren1–1 · 17 May
D v Livingston0–0 · 12 May
Head to head
In 11 league meetings since 2022, Kilmarnock won 5, Dundee United won 1 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Kilmarnock 3–0 Dundee United, a win for Kilmarnock.
Kilmarnock 3–0 Dundee United2 May 2026
Dundee United 1–1 Kilmarnock21 Feb 2026
Kilmarnock 1–1 Dundee United29 Nov 2025
Dundee United 0–2 Kilmarnock27 Sep 2025
Kilmarnock 1–0 Dundee United1 Feb 2025
Dundee United 1–1 Kilmarnock7 Dec 2024
Season averages per game
KIDU
1.00Goals1.45
2.36Conceded1.45
1.16xG1.45
2.19xG against1.42
11.2Shots15.2
3.8On target5.5
4.9Corners5.9
2.09Yellow cards2.27
18%Clean sheets27%
55%Both score46%
64%3+ goals55%