Serie AMatchday 11Saturday 7 November 2026 · 14:00

Cagliari vs Frosinone prediction

Cagliari

39%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

10.0% chance

23%

draw

Frosinone

38%

away win

Win probability: home 39%, draw 23%, away 38%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Cagliari against Frosinone as too close to call in the Serie A on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Cagliari a 39% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Frosinone 38%.

GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Cagliari and 1.7 from Frosinone, so goals look likely: there is a 65% chance of three or more goals and a 67% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (10%). Cagliari keep a clean sheet in 19% of outcomes, Frosinone in 19%.

Cagliari are 10th in the table with 13 points from 9 games; Frosinone are 7th with 14. In their last five league games Cagliari took 4 points (WDLLL) and Frosinone took 8 (DWLWD). This season Cagliari average 1.25 expected goals (xG) for and 1.89 against per game; Frosinone average 1.57 for and 2.40 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2023, Cagliari won 1, Frosinone won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Jan 2024, finished Frosinone 3–1 Cagliari, a win for Frosinone.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Cagliari goalsColumns: Frosinone goals

1–110.0%

2–18.2%

1–28.2%

2–26.9%

1–05.6%

0–15.6%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

96%

2 or more goals

85%

3 or more goals

65%

4 or more goals

43%

5 or more goals

25%

Both teams score

67%

GOSSIPBALL expects 3.4 goals in total: 1.69 for Cagliari and 1.68 for Frosinone.

Winning margin

Explained

Cagliari by 3

Cagliari by 2

12%

Cagliari by 1

19%

Draw

23%

Frosinone by 3

Frosinone by 2

11%

Frosinone by 1

19%

Each team's goals

Explained

Cagliari expected goals1.69

Frosinone expected goals1.68

Cagliari keep a clean sheet19%

Frosinone keep a clean sheet19%

Cagliari win without conceding15%

Frosinone win without conceding15%

Cagliari score 2 or more50%

Frosinone score 2 or more50%

Recent form

Cagliari

L @ Roma2–4 · 27 Oct

L v Bologna0–2 · 24 Oct

L @ Monza0–4 · 19 Oct

D v Juventus1–1 · 11 Oct

W @ Udinese1–0 · 19 Sep

Frosinone

D @ Atalanta4–4 · 25 Oct

W v Sassuolo4–2 · 16 Oct

L @ Napoli0–3 · 10 Oct

W v Como2–0 · 20 Sep

D @ Genoa1–1 · 12 Sep

Head to head

In 2 league meetings since 2023, Cagliari won 1, Frosinone won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Jan 2024, finished Frosinone 3–1 Cagliari, a win for Frosinone.

Frosinone 3–1 Cagliari21 Jan 2024

Cagliari 4–3 Frosinone29 Oct 2023

Season averages per game

CAFR

0.89

Goals

2.12

1.44

Conceded

1.62

1.25

1.57

1.89

xG against

2.40

10.8

Shots

18.2

4.1

On target

6.1

4.1

Corners

5.9

1.44

Yellow cards

2.00

33%

Clean sheets

25%

33%

Both score

50%

33%

3+ goals

62%

Questions and answers

Who will win Cagliari vs Frosinone?

GossipBall gives Cagliari a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Frosinone 38%. GossipBall sees Cagliari against Frosinone as too close to call.

What is the most likely score in Cagliari vs Frosinone?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 10% chance. The next most likely are 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%), 2–2 (7%).

Will both teams score in Cagliari vs Frosinone?

GossipBall gives a 67% chance that both Cagliari and Frosinone score.

Will there be three or more goals in Cagliari vs Frosinone?

There is a 65% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total (1.7 for Cagliari, 1.7 for Frosinone).

When is Cagliari vs Frosinone?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Cagliari and Frosinone?

In 2 league meetings since 2023, Cagliari won 1, Frosinone won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Jan 2024, finished Frosinone 3–1 Cagliari, a win for Frosinone.