Cagliari vs Lecce result and stats
Win probability: home 44%, draw 30%, away 26%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersCagliari beat Lecce 1–0 at home in the Serie A on Monday 7 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Cagliari 44%, the draw 30% and Lecce 26%, so a home win had a 44% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Cagliari 1.36, Lecce 0.41, so Cagliari created the better chances. Cagliari had 20 shots (9 on target) to Lecce's 10 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
CALE
1.36Expected goals0.41
20Shots10
9On target3
7Corners5
9Fouls13
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Cagliari
L v Inter0–1 · 30 Aug
W @ Parma1–0 · 22 Aug
W @ Milan2–1 · 24 May
W v Torino2–1 · 17 May
L v Udinese0–2 · 9 May
Lecce
L v Roma0–4 · 31 Aug
W @ Venezia2–0 · 23 Aug
W v Genoa1–0 · 24 May
W @ Sassuolo3–2 · 17 May
L v Juventus0–1 · 9 May
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2024, Cagliari won 2, Lecce won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 Feb 2026, finished Cagliari 0–2 Lecce, a win for Lecce.
Cagliari 0–2 Lecce16 Feb 2026
Lecce 1–2 Cagliari19 Sep 2025
Cagliari 4–1 Lecce19 Jan 2025
Lecce 1–0 Cagliari31 Aug 2024
Cagliari 1–1 Lecce5 May 2024
Lecce 1–1 Cagliari6 Jan 2024
Season averages per game
CALE
0.89Goals1.12
1.44Conceded1.75
1.25xG1.38
1.89xG against1.86
10.8Shots11.8
4.1On target4.6
4.1Corners4.5
1.44Yellow cards1.75
33%Clean sheets25%
33%Both score25%
33%3+ goals62%