Milan vs Lecce result and stats
Win probability: home 64%, draw 23%, away 13%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMilan beat Lecce 3–0 at home in the Serie A on Sunday 20 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Milan 64%, the draw 23% and Lecce 13%, so a home win had a 64% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Milan 2.19, Lecce 0.21, so Milan created the better chances. Milan had 10 shots (4 on target) to Lecce's 6 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MILE
2.19Expected goals0.21
10Shots6
4On target3
2Corners3
9Fouls15
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Milan
D @ Lazio2–2 · 12 Sep
D @ Juventus1–1 · 6 Sep
W v Venezia2–0 · 28 Aug
W @ Torino2–1 · 23 Aug
L v Cagliari1–2 · 24 May
Lecce
W v Monza3–2 · 13 Sep
L @ Cagliari0–1 · 7 Sep
L v Roma0–4 · 31 Aug
W @ Venezia2–0 · 23 Aug
W v Genoa1–0 · 24 May
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2023, Milan won 6, Lecce won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, finished Milan 1–0 Lecce, a win for Milan.
Milan 1–0 Lecce18 Jan 2026
Lecce 0–2 Milan29 Aug 2025
Lecce 2–3 Milan8 Mar 2025
Milan 3–0 Lecce27 Sep 2024
Milan 3–0 Lecce6 Apr 2024
Lecce 2–2 Milan11 Nov 2023
Season averages per game
MILE
2.00Goals1.12
1.22Conceded1.75
1.90xG1.38
1.28xG against1.86
12.6Shots11.8
4.8On target4.6
3.0Corners4.5
1.67Yellow cards1.75
33%Clean sheets25%
67%Both score25%
56%3+ goals62%