Roma vs Atalanta result and stats
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 29%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersRoma beat Atalanta 2–1 at home in the Serie A on Saturday 5 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Roma 44%, the draw 27% and Atalanta 29%, so a home win had a 44% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Roma 2.96, Atalanta 0.70, so Roma created the better chances. Roma had 39 shots (10 on target) to Atalanta's 6 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ROAT
2.96Expected goals0.70
39Shots6
10On target2
14Corners1
9Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Roma
W @ Lecce4–0 · 31 Aug
W v Fiorentina4–0 · 24 Aug
W @ Verona2–0 · 24 May
W v Lazio2–0 · 17 May
W @ Parma3–2 · 10 May
Atalanta
W v Bologna1–0 · 31 Aug
W v Sassuolo2–1 · 23 Aug
D @ Fiorentina1–1 · 22 May
L v Bologna0–1 · 17 May
W @ Milan3–2 · 10 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Roma won 2, Atalanta won 6 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Apr 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Roma 1–1 Atalanta18 Apr 2026
Atalanta 1–0 Roma3 Jan 2026
Atalanta 2–1 Roma12 May 2025
Roma 0–2 Atalanta2 Dec 2024
Atalanta 2–1 Roma12 May 2024
Roma 1–1 Atalanta7 Jan 2024
Season averages per game
ROAT
2.56Goals1.75
0.89Conceded1.88
2.20xG1.42
1.32xG against2.10
19.0Shots14.4
6.0On target5.1
6.0Corners4.0
2.00Yellow cards0.88
56%Clean sheets12%
44%Both score75%
67%3+ goals75%