Roma vs Cagliari result and stats
Win probability: home 67%, draw 21%, away 13%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersRoma beat Cagliari 4–2 at home in the Serie A on Tuesday 27 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Roma 67%, the draw 21% and Cagliari 13%, so a home win had a 67% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Roma 2.87, Cagliari 2.61, so Roma created the better chances. Roma had 20 shots (8 on target) to Cagliari's 19 (8 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ROCA
2.87Expected goals2.61
20Shots19
8On target8
7Corners8
8Fouls8
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals1
Recent form
Roma
D @ Napoli3–3 · 24 Oct
W v Genoa2–0 · 17 Oct
D @ Como0–0 · 11 Oct
D v Inter2–2 · 19 Sep
W @ Torino2–0 · 14 Sep
Cagliari
L v Bologna0–2 · 24 Oct
L @ Monza0–4 · 19 Oct
D v Juventus1–1 · 11 Oct
W @ Udinese1–0 · 19 Sep
W @ Atalanta2–1 · 12 Sep
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Roma won 6, Cagliari won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 9 Feb 2026, finished Roma 2–0 Cagliari, a win for Roma.
Roma 2–0 Cagliari9 Feb 2026
Cagliari 1–0 Roma7 Dec 2025
Roma 1–0 Cagliari16 Mar 2025
Cagliari 0–0 Roma18 Aug 2024
Roma 4–0 Cagliari5 Feb 2024
Cagliari 1–4 Roma8 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
ROCA
2.56Goals0.89
0.89Conceded1.44
2.20xG1.25
1.32xG against1.89
19.0Shots10.8
6.0On target4.1
6.0Corners4.1
2.00Yellow cards1.44
56%Clean sheets33%
44%Both score33%
67%3+ goals33%