Serie AMatchday 11Saturday 7 November 2026 · 14:00

Torino vs Lecce prediction

Torino

47%

home win

likeliest score

1–0

14.3% chance

29%

draw

Lecce

25%

away win

Win probability: home 47%, draw 29%, away 25%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Torino favourites to beat Lecce at home in the Serie A on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Torino a 47% chance of winning, puts the draw at 29% and gives Lecce 25%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Torino and 0.9 from Lecce, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 38% chance of three or more goals and a 43% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–0 (14%). Torino keep a clean sheet in 41% of outcomes, Lecce in 27%.

Torino are 9th in the table with 13 points from 9 games; Lecce are 14th with 9. In their last five league games Torino took 10 points (DWWWL) and Lecce took 6 (WLLWL). This season Torino average 1.25 expected goals (xG) for and 1.49 against per game; Lecce average 1.38 for and 1.86 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Torino won 5, Lecce won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2026, finished Torino 1–0 Lecce, a win for Torino.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Torino goalsColumns: Lecce goals

1–014.3%

1–113.2%

0–011.3%

2–09.6%

0–19.4%

2–18.5%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

89%

2 or more goals

65%

3 or more goals

38%

4 or more goals

18%

5 or more goals

Both teams score

43%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.2 goals in total: 1.32 for Torino and 0.88 for Lecce.

Winning margin

Explained

Torino by 3

Torino by 2

14%

Torino by 1

25%

Draw

29%

Lecce by 3

Lecce by 2

Lecce by 1

16%

Each team's goals

Explained

Torino expected goals1.32

Lecce expected goals0.88

Torino keep a clean sheet41%

Lecce keep a clean sheet27%

Torino win without conceding30%

Lecce win without conceding15%

Torino score 2 or more38%

Lecce score 2 or more22%

Recent form

Torino

L v Como1–3 · 27 Oct

W v Monza3–2 · 23 Oct

W @ Parma3–0 · 19 Oct

W v Udinese2–1 · 12 Oct

D @ Bologna1–1 · 19 Sep

Lecce

L v Juventus0–2 · 25 Oct

W @ Udinese3–0 · 18 Oct

L v Bologna1–2 · 11 Oct

L @ Milan0–3 · 20 Sep

W v Monza3–2 · 13 Sep

Head to head

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Torino won 5, Lecce won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2026, finished Torino 1–0 Lecce, a win for Torino.

Torino 1–0 Lecce1 Feb 2026

Lecce 2–1 Torino30 Nov 2025

Lecce 1–0 Torino18 May 2025

Torino 0–0 Lecce15 Sep 2024

Torino 2–0 Lecce16 Feb 2024

Lecce 0–1 Torino28 Oct 2023

Season averages per game

TOLE

1.56

Goals

1.12

1.56

Conceded

1.75

1.25

1.38

1.49

xG against

1.86

10.7

Shots

11.8

3.8

On target

4.6

3.4

Corners

4.5

0.89

Yellow cards

1.75

11%

Clean sheets

25%

78%

Both score

25%

78%

3+ goals

62%

Questions and answers

Who will win Torino vs Lecce?

GossipBall gives Torino a 47% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Lecce 25%. GossipBall makes Torino favourites to beat Lecce at home.

What is the most likely score in Torino vs Lecce?

The likeliest single score is 1–0, with a 14% chance. The next most likely are 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%), 2–0 (10%).

Will both teams score in Torino vs Lecce?

GossipBall gives a 43% chance that both Torino and Lecce score.

Will there be three or more goals in Torino vs Lecce?

There is a 38% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.2 goals in total (1.3 for Torino, 0.9 for Lecce).

When is Torino vs Lecce?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Torino and Lecce?

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Torino won 5, Lecce won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2026, finished Torino 1–0 Lecce, a win for Torino.