Serie AMatchday 10Saturday 31 October 2026 · 17:00

Udinese vs Roma prediction

Udinese

17%

home win

likeliest score

0–1

12.2% chance

23%

draw

Roma

59%

away win

Win probability: home 17%, draw 23%, away 59%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Roma favourites to beat Udinese away from home in the Serie A on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:00 UTC. It gives Udinese a 17% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Roma 59%.

GossipBall expects 0.9 goals from Udinese and 1.8 from Roma, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 50% chance of three or more goals and a 49% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 0–1 (12%). Udinese keep a clean sheet in 16% of outcomes, Roma in 42%.

Udinese are 17th in the table with 5 points from 9 games; Roma are 3rd with 21. In their last five league games Udinese took 1 points (LLLLD) and Roma took 9 (DDWDW). This season Udinese average 1.11 expected goals (xG) for and 2.21 against per game; Roma average 2.20 for and 1.32 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Udinese won 2, Roma won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 Feb 2026, finished Udinese 1–0 Roma, a win for Udinese.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Udinese goalsColumns: Roma goals

0–112.2%

0–211.2%

1–111.0%

1–29.8%

0–07.1%

0–36.8%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

93%

2 or more goals

75%

3 or more goals

50%

4 or more goals

28%

5 or more goals

13%

Both teams score

49%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.7 goals in total: 0.87 for Udinese and 1.81 for Roma.

Winning margin

Explained

Udinese by 3

Udinese by 2

Udinese by 1

12%

Draw

23%

Roma by 3

10%

Roma by 2

18%

Roma by 1

25%

Each team's goals

Explained

Udinese expected goals0.87

Roma expected goals1.81

Udinese keep a clean sheet16%

Roma keep a clean sheet42%

Udinese win without conceding9%

Roma win without conceding35%

Udinese score 2 or more22%

Roma score 2 or more54%

Recent form

Udinese

D @ Parma0–0 · 28 Oct

L v Milan0–2 · 25 Oct

L v Lecce0–3 · 18 Oct

L @ Torino1–2 · 12 Oct

L v Cagliari0–1 · 19 Sep

Roma

W v Cagliari4–2 · 27 Oct

D @ Napoli3–3 · 24 Oct

W v Genoa2–0 · 17 Oct

D @ Como0–0 · 11 Oct

D v Inter2–2 · 19 Sep

Head to head

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Udinese won 2, Roma won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 Feb 2026, finished Udinese 1–0 Roma, a win for Udinese.

Udinese 1–0 Roma2 Feb 2026

Roma 2–0 Udinese9 Nov 2025

Udinese 1–2 Roma26 Jan 2025

Roma 3–0 Udinese22 Sep 2024

Udinese 1–2 Roma25 Apr 2024

Roma 3–1 Udinese26 Nov 2023

Season averages per game

UDRO

1.00

Goals

2.56

2.00

Conceded

0.89

1.11

2.20

2.21

xG against

1.32

14.7

Shots

19.0

4.1

On target

6.0

4.2

Corners

6.0

1.78

Yellow cards

2.00

11%

Clean sheets

56%

Both score

44%

56%

3+ goals

67%

Questions and answers

Who will win Udinese vs Roma?

GossipBall gives Udinese a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Roma 59%. GossipBall makes Roma favourites to beat Udinese away from home.

What is the most likely score in Udinese vs Roma?

The likeliest single score is 0–1, with a 12% chance. The next most likely are 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%).

Will both teams score in Udinese vs Roma?

GossipBall gives a 49% chance that both Udinese and Roma score.

Will there be three or more goals in Udinese vs Roma?

There is a 50% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (0.9 for Udinese, 1.8 for Roma).

When is Udinese vs Roma?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Udinese and Roma?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Udinese won 2, Roma won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 Feb 2026, finished Udinese 1–0 Roma, a win for Udinese.