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Belgian Pro LeagueSunday 8 November 2026 ·

Gent vs Kortrijk prediction

66%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.7% chance
22%
draw
13%
away win
Win probability: home 66%, draw 22%, away 13%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Gent clear favourites to beat Kortrijk at home in the Belgian Pro League on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Gent a 66% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Kortrijk 13%.

GossipBall expects 2.0 goals from Gent and 0.8 from Kortrijk, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 53% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Gent keep a clean sheet in 46% of outcomes, Kortrijk in 13%.

Gent are 3rd in the table with 25 points from 10 games; Kortrijk are 18th with 4. In their last five league games Gent took 10 points (DWWWL) and Kortrijk took 4 (LWLDL). This season Gent average 1.28 expected goals (xG) for and 0.83 against per game; Kortrijk average 1.02 for and 1.79 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Gent won 5, Kortrijk won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 Mar 2025, finished Gent 1–2 Kortrijk, a win for Kortrijk.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7
4
2
<1
1
12
10
4
<1
<1
2
12
10
4
<1
<1
3
8
7
3
<1
<1
4
4
3
1
<1
5
2
1
<1
<1
Rows: Gent goalsColumns: Kortrijk goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

2–012.5%
1–011.5%
1–110.3%
2–19.7%
3–08.4%
0–06.8%
1 or more goals
93%
2 or more goals
78%
3 or more goals
53%
4 or more goals
31%
5 or more goals
15%
Both teams score
48%

GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 2.03 for Gent and 0.78 for Kortrijk.

Winning margin

Explained
Gent by 3
12%
Gent by 2
20%
Gent by 1
24%
Draw
22%
Kortrijk by 3
1%
Kortrijk by 2
3%
Kortrijk by 1
9%

Each team's goals

Explained
Gent expected goals2.03
Kortrijk expected goals0.78
Gent keep a clean sheet46%
Kortrijk keep a clean sheet13%
Gent win without conceding39%
Kortrijk win without conceding6%
Gent score 2 or more60%
Kortrijk score 2 or more18%

Recent form

Gent
L @ Lommel0–2 · 1 Nov
W v Anderlecht4–0 · 25 Oct
W @ Zulte Waregem2–0 · 10 Oct
W v Standard Liège2–1 · 18 Sep
D @ Genk1–1 · 13 Sep
Kortrijk
L v Mechelen1–3 · 4 Nov
D @ Standard Liège1–1 · 31 Oct
L @ Genk0–3 · 10 Oct
W v Beveren1–0 · 20 Sep
L @ RAAL La Louvière0–3 · 13 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Gent won 5, Kortrijk won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 Mar 2025, finished Gent 1–2 Kortrijk, a win for Kortrijk.

Gent 1–2 Kortrijk16 Mar 2025
Kortrijk 0–1 Gent28 Jul 2024
Kortrijk 0–2 Gent26 Dec 2023
Gent 3–2 Kortrijk30 Jul 2023
Gent 2–1 Kortrijk15 Jan 2023
Kortrijk 0–4 Gent13 Nov 2022

Season averages per game

GNTKVK
1.90
Goals
0.40
0.60
Conceded
2.20
1.28
xG
1.02
0.83
xG against
1.79
12.2
Shots
11.5
5.2
On target
2.9
4.3
Corners
3.4
1.70
Yellow cards
2.30
50%
Clean sheets
10%
40%
Both score
30%
50%
3+ goals
60%

Questions and answers

Who will win Gent vs Kortrijk?

GossipBall gives Gent a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kortrijk 13%. GossipBall makes Gent clear favourites to beat Kortrijk at home.

What is the predicted score for Gent vs Kortrijk?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.0 for Gent, 0.8 for Kortrijk). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).

Will both teams score in Gent vs Kortrijk?

GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both Gent and Kortrijk score.

Will there be three or more goals in Gent vs Kortrijk?

There is a 53% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (2.0 for Gent, 0.8 for Kortrijk).

When is Gent vs Kortrijk?

Kick-off is Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Gent and Kortrijk?

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Gent won 5, Kortrijk won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 Mar 2025, finished Gent 1–2 Kortrijk, a win for Kortrijk.

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·