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Belgian Pro LeagueSaturday 7 November 2026 ·

OH Leuven vs Mechelen prediction

37%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.3% chance
29%
draw
34%
away win
Win probability: home 37%, draw 29%, away 34%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees OH Leuven against Mechelen as too close to call in the Belgian Pro League on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:15 UTC. It gives OH Leuven a 37% chance of winning, puts the draw at 29% and gives Mechelen 34%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from OH Leuven and 1.3 from Mechelen, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 53% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. OH Leuven keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Mechelen in 27%.

OH Leuven are 14th in the table with 9 points from 10 games; Mechelen are 10th with 12. In their last five league games OH Leuven took 9 points (DWDDW) and Mechelen took 10 (LDWWW). This season OH Leuven average 1.35 expected goals (xG) for and 1.92 against per game; Mechelen average 1.09 for and 1.44 against.

In 14 league meetings since 2021, OH Leuven won 5, Mechelen won 5 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
9
9
6
3
<1
<1
1
9
14
8
3
1
<1
2
7
8
5
2
<1
<1
3
3
4
2
<1
<1
4
<1
1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: OH Leuven goalsColumns: Mechelen goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.7%
1–09.1%
0–08.8%
0–18.7%
2–18.3%
1–27.9%
1 or more goals
91%
2 or more goals
73%
3 or more goals
47%
4 or more goals
26%
5 or more goals
12%
Both teams score
53%

GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.31 for OH Leuven and 1.25 for Mechelen.

Winning margin

Explained
OH Leuven by 3
4%
OH Leuven by 2
11%
OH Leuven by 1
20%
Draw
29%
Mechelen by 3
4%
Mechelen by 2
10%
Mechelen by 1
19%

Each team's goals

Explained
OH Leuven expected goals1.31
Mechelen expected goals1.25
OH Leuven keep a clean sheet29%
Mechelen keep a clean sheet27%
OH Leuven win without conceding20%
Mechelen win without conceding18%
OH Leuven score 2 or more38%
Mechelen score 2 or more36%

Recent form

OH Leuven
W @ Sint-Truiden2–1 · 1 Nov
D v Lommel2–2 · 24 Oct
D @ Union SG1–1 · 11 Oct
W v RAAL La Louvière2–0 · 19 Sep
D v Cercle Brugge1–1 · 12 Sep
Mechelen
W @ Kortrijk3–1 · 4 Nov
W v Genk1–0 · 31 Oct
W v Sint-Truiden4–3 · 11 Oct
D @ Lommel0–0 · 19 Sep
L v Anderlecht0–1 · 11 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 14 league meetings since 2021, OH Leuven won 5, Mechelen won 5 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

OH Leuven 2–2 Mechelen1 Feb 2026
Mechelen 1–1 OH Leuven25 Oct 2025
OH Leuven 1–2 Mechelen3 May 2025
Mechelen 1–1 OH Leuven13 Apr 2025
OH Leuven 1–0 Mechelen31 Jan 2025
Mechelen 5–0 OH Leuven5 Oct 2024

Season averages per game

OHLKVM
1.00
Goals
1.30
1.70
Conceded
1.80
1.35
xG
1.09
1.92
xG against
1.44
14.9
Shots
11.3
3.0
On target
3.6
4.3
Corners
4.4
2.20
Yellow cards
1.70
10%
Clean sheets
20%
60%
Both score
40%
60%
3+ goals
50%

Questions and answers

Who will win OH Leuven vs Mechelen?

GossipBall gives OH Leuven a 37% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Mechelen 34%. GossipBall sees OH Leuven against Mechelen as too close to call.

What is the predicted score for OH Leuven vs Mechelen?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for OH Leuven, 1.3 for Mechelen). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 1–0 (9%), 0–0 (9%).

Will both teams score in OH Leuven vs Mechelen?

GossipBall gives a 53% chance that both OH Leuven and Mechelen score.

Will there be three or more goals in OH Leuven vs Mechelen?

There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.3 for OH Leuven, 1.3 for Mechelen).

When is OH Leuven vs Mechelen?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:15 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between OH Leuven and Mechelen?

In 14 league meetings since 2021, OH Leuven won 5, Mechelen won 5 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·