Bayern Munich vs Mainz result and stats
Win probability: home 81%, draw 13%, away 6%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersBayern Munich and Mainz drew 2–2 in the Bundesliga on Sunday 14 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Bayern Munich 81%, the draw 13% and Mainz 6%, so a draw had a 13% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
BMMA
24Shots5
11On target2
7Corners0
7Fouls8
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Bayern Munich
W @ Stuttgart5–0 · 6 Dec
W v St Pauli3–1 · 29 Nov
W v Freiburg6–2 · 22 Nov
D @ Union Berlin2–2 · 8 Nov
W v Bayer Leverkusen3–0 · 1 Nov
Mainz
L v Gladbach0–1 · 5 Dec
L @ Freiburg0–4 · 30 Nov
D v Hoffenheim1–1 · 21 Nov
L @ Eintracht Frankfurt0–1 · 9 Nov
D v Werder Bremen1–1 · 1 Nov
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Bayern Munich won 5, Mainz won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2025, finished Bayern Munich 3–0 Mainz, a win for Bayern Munich.
Bayern Munich 3–0 Mainz26 Apr 2025
Mainz 2–1 Bayern Munich14 Dec 2024
Bayern Munich 8–1 Mainz9 Mar 2024
Mainz 1–3 Bayern Munich21 Oct 2023
Mainz 3–1 Bayern Munich22 Apr 2023
Bayern Munich 6–2 Mainz29 Oct 2022