Hamburg vs Bayern Munich result and stats
Win probability: home 6%, draw 14%, away 79%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersHamburg and Bayern Munich drew 2–2 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Hamburg 6%, the draw 14% and Bayern Munich 79%, so a draw had a 14% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
HABM
14Shots13
4On target7
3Corners9
12Fouls16
6Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Hamburg
D @ St Pauli0–0 · 23 Jan
D v Gladbach0–0 · 17 Jan
L @ Freiburg1–2 · 10 Jan
D v Eintracht Frankfurt1–1 · 20 Dec
L @ Hoffenheim1–4 · 13 Dec
Bayern Munich
L v Augsburg1–2 · 24 Jan
W @ RB Leipzig5–1 · 17 Jan
W @ FC Köln3–1 · 14 Jan
W v Wolfsburg8–1 · 11 Jan
W @ Heidenheim4–0 · 21 Dec
Head to head
In 1 league meeting since 2025, Hamburg won 0, Bayern Munich won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 Sep 2025, finished Bayern Munich 5–0 Hamburg, a win for Bayern Munich.
Bayern Munich 5–0 Hamburg13 Sep 2025