Hamburg vs Mainz result and stats
Win probability: home 15%, draw 31%, away 54%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersHamburg beat Mainz 4–0 at home in the Bundesliga on Sunday 5 October 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Hamburg 15%, the draw 31% and Mainz 54%, so a home win had a 15% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
HAMA
15Shots11
9On target4
1Corners4
14Fouls13
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Recent form
Hamburg
D @ Union Berlin0–0 · 28 Sep
W v Heidenheim2–1 · 20 Sep
L @ Bayern Munich0–5 · 13 Sep
L v St Pauli0–2 · 29 Aug
D @ Gladbach0–0 · 24 Aug
Mainz
L v Borussia Dortmund0–2 · 27 Sep
W @ Augsburg4–1 · 20 Sep
L v RB Leipzig0–1 · 13 Sep
D @ Wolfsburg1–1 · 31 Aug
L v FC Köln0–1 · 24 Aug
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.