Mainz vs Bayern Munich result and stats
Win probability: home 13%, draw 18%, away 70%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersBayern Munich won 4–3 away at Mainz in the Bundesliga on Saturday 25 April 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Mainz 13%, the draw 18% and Bayern Munich 70%, so an away win had a 70% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
MABM
21Shots11
8On target6
4Corners4
14Fouls10
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Half-time goals0
Recent form
Mainz
D @ Gladbach1–1 · 19 Apr
L v Freiburg0–1 · 12 Apr
W @ Hoffenheim2–1 · 4 Apr
W v Eintracht Frankfurt2–1 · 22 Mar
W @ Werder Bremen2–0 · 15 Mar
Bayern Munich
W v Stuttgart4–2 · 19 Apr
W @ St Pauli5–0 · 11 Apr
W @ Freiburg3–2 · 4 Apr
W v Union Berlin4–0 · 21 Mar
D @ Bayer Leverkusen1–1 · 14 Mar
Head to head
In 9 league meetings since 2021, Mainz won 3, Bayern Munich won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 14 Dec 2025, was a 2–2 draw.
Bayern Munich 2–2 Mainz14 Dec 2025
Bayern Munich 3–0 Mainz26 Apr 2025
Mainz 2–1 Bayern Munich14 Dec 2024
Bayern Munich 8–1 Mainz9 Mar 2024
Mainz 1–3 Bayern Munich21 Oct 2023
Mainz 3–1 Bayern Munich22 Apr 2023