Mainz vs Freiburg result and stats
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 28%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersFreiburg won 1–0 away at Mainz in the Bundesliga on Sunday 12 April 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Mainz 44%, the draw 27% and Freiburg 28%, so an away win had a 28% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
MAFR
10Shots8
3On target3
6Corners4
10Fouls13
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Mainz
W @ Hoffenheim2–1 · 4 Apr
W v Eintracht Frankfurt2–1 · 22 Mar
W @ Werder Bremen2–0 · 15 Mar
D v Stuttgart2–2 · 7 Mar
D @ Bayer Leverkusen1–1 · 28 Feb
Freiburg
L v Bayern Munich2–3 · 4 Apr
W @ St Pauli2–1 · 22 Mar
L v Union Berlin0–1 · 15 Mar
D v Bayer Leverkusen3–3 · 7 Mar
L @ Eintracht Frankfurt0–2 · 1 Mar
Head to head
In 9 league meetings since 2021, Mainz won 0, Freiburg won 3 and 6 were drawn; the most recent, on 30 Nov 2025, finished Freiburg 4–0 Mainz, a win for Freiburg.
Freiburg 4–0 Mainz30 Nov 2025
Mainz 2–2 Freiburg15 Mar 2025
Freiburg 0–0 Mainz3 Nov 2024
Freiburg 1–1 Mainz21 Apr 2024
Mainz 0–1 Freiburg3 Dec 2023
Mainz 1–1 Freiburg19 Mar 2023