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Augsburg vs FC Köln prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Augsburg favourites to beat FC Köln at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Augsburg a 47% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives FC Köln 28%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Augsburg and 1.3 from FC Köln, so goals look likely: there is a 59% chance of three or more goals and a 61% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Augsburg keep a clean sheet in 27% of outcomes, FC Köln in 18%.
Augsburg are 14th in the table with 9 points from 9 games; FC Köln are 15th with 9. In their last five league games Augsburg took 2 points (DLDLL) and FC Köln took 5 (WLDDL). This season Augsburg average 2.03 expected goals (xG) for and 2.51 against per game; FC Köln average 1.56 for and 1.56 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Augsburg won 2, FC Köln won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 27 Feb 2026, finished Augsburg 2–0 FC Köln, a win for Augsburg.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total: 1.74 for Augsburg and 1.32 for FC Köln.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2021, Augsburg won 2, FC Köln won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 27 Feb 2026, finished Augsburg 2–0 FC Köln, a win for Augsburg.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Augsburg vs FC Köln?
GossipBall gives Augsburg a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Köln 28%. GossipBall makes Augsburg favourites to beat FC Köln at home.
What is the predicted score for Augsburg vs FC Köln?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Augsburg, 1.3 for FC Köln). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (7%).
Will both teams score in Augsburg vs FC Köln?
GossipBall gives a 61% chance that both Augsburg and FC Köln score.
Will there be three or more goals in Augsburg vs FC Köln?
There is a 59% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (1.7 for Augsburg, 1.3 for FC Köln).
When is Augsburg vs FC Köln?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Augsburg and FC Köln?
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Augsburg won 2, FC Köln won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 27 Feb 2026, finished Augsburg 2–0 FC Köln, a win for Augsburg.