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Bayer Leverkusen vs Gladbach prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Bayer Leverkusen clear favourites to beat Gladbach at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Bayer Leverkusen a 67% chance of winning, puts the draw at 19% and gives Gladbach 14%.
GossipBall expects 2.5 goals from Bayer Leverkusen and 1.1 from Gladbach, so goals look likely: there is a 70% chance of three or more goals and a 62% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1. Bayer Leverkusen keep a clean sheet in 33% of outcomes, Gladbach in 8%.
Bayer Leverkusen are 5th in the table with 16 points from 9 games; Gladbach are 18th with 4. In their last five league games Bayer Leverkusen took 9 points (WWLLW) and Gladbach took 4 (LLWDL). This season Bayer Leverkusen average 1.94 expected goals (xG) for and 1.72 against per game; Gladbach average 1.63 for and 2.18 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bayer Leverkusen won 6, Gladbach won 0 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–1 (9%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.6 goals in total: 2.49 for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.10 for Gladbach.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bayer Leverkusen won 6, Gladbach won 0 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Gladbach?
GossipBall gives Bayer Leverkusen a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Gladbach 14%. GossipBall makes Bayer Leverkusen clear favourites to beat Gladbach at home.
What is the predicted score for Bayer Leverkusen vs Gladbach?
GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.5 for Bayer Leverkusen, 1.1 for Gladbach). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
Will both teams score in Bayer Leverkusen vs Gladbach?
GossipBall gives a 62% chance that both Bayer Leverkusen and Gladbach score.
Will there be three or more goals in Bayer Leverkusen vs Gladbach?
There is a 70% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.6 goals in total (2.5 for Bayer Leverkusen, 1.1 for Gladbach).
When is Bayer Leverkusen vs Gladbach?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Bayer Leverkusen and Gladbach?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bayer Leverkusen won 6, Gladbach won 0 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.