BundesligaMatchday 13Saturday 12 December 2026 ·

Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg prediction

predicted score
2–1
9.6% chance
18%
draw
12%
away win
Win probability: home 70%, draw 18%, away 12%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Borussia Dortmund clear favourites to beat Augsburg at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Borussia Dortmund a 70% chance of winning, puts the draw at 18% and gives Augsburg 12%.

GossipBall expects 2.4 goals from Borussia Dortmund and 0.9 from Augsburg, so goals look likely: there is a 65% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Borussia Dortmund keep a clean sheet in 39% of outcomes, Augsburg in 9%.

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd in the table with 21 points from 9 games; Augsburg are 14th with 9. In their last five league games Borussia Dortmund took 9 points (DDWDW) and Augsburg took 2 (DLDLL). This season Borussia Dortmund average 1.54 expected goals (xG) for and 1.38 against per game; Augsburg average 2.03 for and 2.51 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Borussia Dortmund won 6, Augsburg won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Augsburg, a win for Borussia Dortmund.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
4
3
2
<1
<1
1
8
9
4
1
<1
2
10
10
4
1
<1
3
8
8
4
1
<1
4
5
5
2
<1
<1
5
2
2
1
<1
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goalsColumns: Augsburg goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

2–010.3%
2–19.6%
1–18.5%
3–08.3%
1–07.9%
3–17.7%
1 or more goals
96%
2 or more goals
85%
3 or more goals
65%
4 or more goals
43%
5 or more goals
25%
Both teams score
56%

GossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total: 2.42 for Borussia Dortmund and 0.93 for Augsburg.

Winning margin

Explained
Borussia Dortmund by 3
14%
Borussia Dortmund by 2
20%
Borussia Dortmund by 1
22%
Draw
18%
Augsburg by 3
1%
Augsburg by 2
3%
Augsburg by 1
8%

Each team's goals

Explained
Borussia Dortmund expected goals2.42
Augsburg expected goals0.93
Borussia Dortmund keep a clean sheet39%
Augsburg keep a clean sheet9%
Borussia Dortmund win without conceding35%
Augsburg win without conceding5%
Borussia Dortmund score 2 or more70%
Augsburg score 2 or more24%

Recent form

Borussia Dortmund
W v Elversberg2–1 · 7 Nov
D @ Bayern Munich2–2 · 31 Oct
W v Eintracht Frankfurt1–0 · 24 Oct
D @ Union Berlin0–0 · 17 Oct
D v Werder Bremen2–2 · 9 Oct
Augsburg
L @ RB Leipzig2–5 · 7 Nov
L v Freiburg1–2 · 31 Oct
D v Union Berlin1–1 · 24 Oct
L @ Elversberg3–4 · 17 Oct
D v Bayern Munich2–2 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Borussia Dortmund won 6, Augsburg won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Augsburg, a win for Borussia Dortmund.

Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Augsburg14 Mar 2026
Augsburg 0–1 Borussia Dortmund31 Oct 2025
Borussia Dortmund 0–1 Augsburg8 Mar 2025
Augsburg 2–1 Borussia Dortmund26 Oct 2024
Borussia Dortmund 5–1 Augsburg4 May 2024
Augsburg 1–1 Borussia Dortmund16 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

BVBFCA
1.78
Goals
2.22
0.78
Conceded
2.22
1.54
xG
2.03
1.38
xG against
2.51
15.3
Shots
16.9
5.3
On target
6.7
5.6
Corners
4.9
1.89
Yellow cards
1.56
56%
Clean sheets
11%
44%
Both score
89%
56%
3+ goals
89%

Questions and answers

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg?

GossipBall gives Borussia Dortmund a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Augsburg 12%. GossipBall makes Borussia Dortmund clear favourites to beat Augsburg at home.

What is the predicted score for Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.4 for Borussia Dortmund, 0.9 for Augsburg). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%).

Will both teams score in Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg?

GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both Borussia Dortmund and Augsburg score.

Will there be three or more goals in Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg?

There is a 65% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total (2.4 for Borussia Dortmund, 0.9 for Augsburg).

When is Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Borussia Dortmund and Augsburg?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Borussia Dortmund won 6, Augsburg won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Augsburg, a win for Borussia Dortmund.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC