Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Borussia Dortmund clear favourites to beat Augsburg at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Borussia Dortmund a 70% chance of winning, puts the draw at 18% and gives Augsburg 12%.
GossipBall expects 2.4 goals from Borussia Dortmund and 0.9 from Augsburg, so goals look likely: there is a 65% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Borussia Dortmund keep a clean sheet in 39% of outcomes, Augsburg in 9%.
Borussia Dortmund are 2nd in the table with 21 points from 9 games; Augsburg are 14th with 9. In their last five league games Borussia Dortmund took 9 points (DDWDW) and Augsburg took 2 (DLDLL). This season Borussia Dortmund average 1.54 expected goals (xG) for and 1.38 against per game; Augsburg average 2.03 for and 2.51 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Borussia Dortmund won 6, Augsburg won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Augsburg, a win for Borussia Dortmund.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total: 2.42 for Borussia Dortmund and 0.93 for Augsburg.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Borussia Dortmund won 6, Augsburg won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Augsburg, a win for Borussia Dortmund.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg?
GossipBall gives Borussia Dortmund a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Augsburg 12%. GossipBall makes Borussia Dortmund clear favourites to beat Augsburg at home.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.4 for Borussia Dortmund, 0.9 for Augsburg). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg?
GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both Borussia Dortmund and Augsburg score.
Will there be three or more goals in Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg?
There is a 65% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total (2.4 for Borussia Dortmund, 0.9 for Augsburg).
When is Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Borussia Dortmund and Augsburg?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Borussia Dortmund won 6, Augsburg won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Augsburg, a win for Borussia Dortmund.