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Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Borussia Dortmund favourites to beat Bayer Leverkusen at home in the Bundesliga on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 18:30 UTC. It gives Borussia Dortmund a 49% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Bayer Leverkusen 27%.
GossipBall expects 1.9 goals from Borussia Dortmund and 1.3 from Bayer Leverkusen, so goals look likely: there is a 62% chance of three or more goals and a 63% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Borussia Dortmund keep a clean sheet in 26% of outcomes, Bayer Leverkusen in 16%.
Borussia Dortmund are 2nd in the table with 21 points from 9 games; Bayer Leverkusen are 5th with 16. In their last five league games Borussia Dortmund took 9 points (DDWDW) and Bayer Leverkusen took 9 (WWLLW). This season Borussia Dortmund average 1.54 expected goals (xG) for and 1.38 against per game; Bayer Leverkusen average 1.94 for and 1.72 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Borussia Dortmund won 5, Bayer Leverkusen won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Apr 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen, a win for Bayer Leverkusen.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 1.86 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.34 for Bayer Leverkusen.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Borussia Dortmund won 5, Bayer Leverkusen won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Apr 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen, a win for Bayer Leverkusen.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?
GossipBall gives Borussia Dortmund a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bayer Leverkusen 27%. GossipBall makes Borussia Dortmund favourites to beat Bayer Leverkusen at home.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.9 for Borussia Dortmund, 1.3 for Bayer Leverkusen). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (7%).
Will both teams score in Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?
GossipBall gives a 63% chance that both Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen score.
Will there be three or more goals in Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?
There is a 62% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (1.9 for Borussia Dortmund, 1.3 for Bayer Leverkusen).
When is Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 18:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Borussia Dortmund won 5, Bayer Leverkusen won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Apr 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen, a win for Bayer Leverkusen.