BundesligaMatchday 12Sunday 6 December 2026 ·

Elversberg vs Stuttgart prediction

33%
home win
predicted score
1–3
5.7% chance
22%
draw
45%
away win
Win probability: home 33%, draw 22%, away 45%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Stuttgart favourites to beat Elversberg away from home in the Bundesliga on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 16:30 UTC. It gives Elversberg a 33% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Stuttgart 45%.

GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Elversberg and 2.1 from Stuttgart, so goals look likely: there is a 75% chance of three or more goals and a 74% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–3. Elversberg keep a clean sheet in 12% of outcomes, Stuttgart in 17%.

Elversberg are 7th in the table with 13 points from 9 games; Stuttgart are 8th with 12. In their last five league games Elversberg took 6 points (LWLWL) and Stuttgart took 9 (WLLWW). This season Elversberg average 1.39 expected goals (xG) for and 2.08 against per game; Stuttgart average 1.88 for and 2.25 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
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<1
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Rows: Elversberg goalsColumns: Stuttgart goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (8%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–18.2%
1–28.1%
2–27.2%
2–16.9%
1–35.7%
2–35.1%
1 or more goals
97%
2 or more goals
91%
3 or more goals
75%
4 or more goals
55%
5 or more goals
35%
Both teams score
74%

GossipBall expects 3.9 goals in total: 1.79 for Elversberg and 2.11 for Stuttgart.

Winning margin

Explained
Elversberg by 3
5%
Elversberg by 2
10%
Elversberg by 1
16%
Draw
22%
Stuttgart by 3
8%
Stuttgart by 2
14%
Stuttgart by 1
19%

Each team's goals

Explained
Elversberg expected goals1.79
Stuttgart expected goals2.11
Elversberg keep a clean sheet12%
Stuttgart keep a clean sheet17%
Elversberg win without conceding10%
Stuttgart win without conceding14%
Elversberg score 2 or more53%
Stuttgart score 2 or more62%

Recent form

Elversberg
L @ Borussia Dortmund1–2 · 7 Nov
W v Mainz4–1 · 30 Oct
L @ RB Leipzig0–4 · 24 Oct
W v Augsburg4–3 · 17 Oct
L @ Union Berlin0–1 · 10 Oct
Stuttgart
W v Werder Bremen1–0 · 7 Nov
W @ Bayer Leverkusen4–2 · 31 Oct
L v Gladbach2–3 · 23 Oct
L @ Hamburg0–1 · 17 Oct
W @ Paderborn2–0 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

ELVVFB
1.89
Goals
1.67
2.00
Conceded
1.67
1.39
xG
1.88
2.08
xG against
2.25
11.2
Shots
16.2
4.7
On target
5.8
4.3
Corners
5.9
1.78
Yellow cards
1.44
11%
Clean sheets
22%
67%
Both score
56%
78%
3+ goals
56%

Questions and answers

Who will win Elversberg vs Stuttgart?

GossipBall gives Elversberg a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stuttgart 45%. GossipBall makes Stuttgart favourites to beat Elversberg away from home.

What is the predicted score for Elversberg vs Stuttgart?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–3, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.8 for Elversberg, 2.1 for Stuttgart). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%), 2–2 (7%).

Will both teams score in Elversberg vs Stuttgart?

GossipBall gives a 74% chance that both Elversberg and Stuttgart score.

Will there be three or more goals in Elversberg vs Stuttgart?

There is a 75% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.9 goals in total (1.8 for Elversberg, 2.1 for Stuttgart).

When is Elversberg vs Stuttgart?

Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 16:30 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC