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FC Köln vs RB Leipzig prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes RB Leipzig favourites to beat FC Köln away from home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives FC Köln a 24% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives RB Leipzig 53%.
GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from FC Köln and 2.0 from RB Leipzig, so goals look likely: there is a 63% chance of three or more goals and a 63% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. FC Köln keep a clean sheet in 14% of outcomes, RB Leipzig in 28%.
FC Köln are 15th in the table with 9 points from 9 games; RB Leipzig are 4th with 18. In their last five league games FC Köln took 5 points (WLDDL) and RB Leipzig took 12 (WLWWW). This season FC Köln average 1.56 expected goals (xG) for and 1.56 against per game; RB Leipzig average 2.50 for and 1.51 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2021, FC Köln won 0, RB Leipzig won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Feb 2026, finished FC Köln 1–2 RB Leipzig, a win for RB Leipzig.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 1.26 for FC Köln and 1.98 for RB Leipzig.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2021, FC Köln won 0, RB Leipzig won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Feb 2026, finished FC Köln 1–2 RB Leipzig, a win for RB Leipzig.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win FC Köln vs RB Leipzig?
GossipBall gives FC Köln a 24% chance of winning, the draw 23% and RB Leipzig 53%. GossipBall makes RB Leipzig favourites to beat FC Köln away from home.
What is the predicted score for FC Köln vs RB Leipzig?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for FC Köln, 2.0 for RB Leipzig). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (8%).
Will both teams score in FC Köln vs RB Leipzig?
GossipBall gives a 63% chance that both FC Köln and RB Leipzig score.
Will there be three or more goals in FC Köln vs RB Leipzig?
There is a 63% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (1.3 for FC Köln, 2.0 for RB Leipzig).
When is FC Köln vs RB Leipzig?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Köln and RB Leipzig?
In 8 league meetings since 2021, FC Köln won 0, RB Leipzig won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Feb 2026, finished FC Köln 1–2 RB Leipzig, a win for RB Leipzig.