Gladbach vs Borussia Dortmund prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Borussia Dortmund favourites to beat Gladbach away from home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Gladbach a 22% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Borussia Dortmund 55%.
GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Gladbach and 1.9 from Borussia Dortmund, so goals look likely: there is a 60% chance of three or more goals and a 59% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Gladbach keep a clean sheet in 14% of outcomes, Borussia Dortmund in 32%.
Gladbach are 18th in the table with 4 points from 8 games; Borussia Dortmund are 2nd with 18. In their last five league games Gladbach took 4 points (LLLWD) and Borussia Dortmund took 9 (WDDWD). This season Gladbach average 1.56 expected goals (xG) for and 2.17 against per game; Borussia Dortmund average 1.53 for and 1.40 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Gladbach won 3, Borussia Dortmund won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Gladbach 1–0 Borussia Dortmund, a win for Gladbach.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total: 1.15 for Gladbach and 1.95 for Borussia Dortmund.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Gladbach won 3, Borussia Dortmund won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Gladbach 1–0 Borussia Dortmund, a win for Gladbach.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Gladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
GossipBall gives Gladbach a 22% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Borussia Dortmund 55%. GossipBall makes Borussia Dortmund favourites to beat Gladbach away from home.
What is the predicted score for Gladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Gladbach, 1.9 for Borussia Dortmund). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (9%).
Will both teams score in Gladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
GossipBall gives a 59% chance that both Gladbach and Borussia Dortmund score.
Will there be three or more goals in Gladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
There is a 60% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (1.2 for Gladbach, 1.9 for Borussia Dortmund).
When is Gladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 14:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Gladbach and Borussia Dortmund?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Gladbach won 3, Borussia Dortmund won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Gladbach 1–0 Borussia Dortmund, a win for Gladbach.