Hoffenheim vs Augsburg prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Hoffenheim favourites to beat Augsburg at home in the Bundesliga on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 16:30 UTC. It gives Hoffenheim a 54% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Augsburg 24%.
GossipBall expects 2.1 goals from Hoffenheim and 1.4 from Augsburg, so goals look likely: there is a 69% chance of three or more goals and a 67% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1. Hoffenheim keep a clean sheet in 25% of outcomes, Augsburg in 12%.
Hoffenheim are 9th in the table with 12 points from 9 games; Augsburg are 14th with 9. In their last five league games Hoffenheim took 9 points (LWWLW) and Augsburg took 2 (DLDLL). This season Hoffenheim average 1.89 expected goals (xG) for and 1.45 against per game; Augsburg average 2.03 for and 2.51 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Hoffenheim won 5, Augsburg won 1 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 Apr 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (9%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.5 goals in total: 2.14 for Hoffenheim and 1.39 for Augsburg.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Hoffenheim won 5, Augsburg won 1 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 Apr 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Hoffenheim vs Augsburg?
GossipBall gives Hoffenheim a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Augsburg 24%. GossipBall makes Hoffenheim favourites to beat Augsburg at home.
What is the predicted score for Hoffenheim vs Augsburg?
GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.1 for Hoffenheim, 1.4 for Augsburg). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (7%).
Will both teams score in Hoffenheim vs Augsburg?
GossipBall gives a 67% chance that both Hoffenheim and Augsburg score.
Will there be three or more goals in Hoffenheim vs Augsburg?
There is a 69% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.5 goals in total (2.1 for Hoffenheim, 1.4 for Augsburg).
When is Hoffenheim vs Augsburg?
Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 16:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Hoffenheim and Augsburg?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Hoffenheim won 5, Augsburg won 1 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 Apr 2026, was a 2–2 draw.