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Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Borussia Dortmund clear favourites to beat Schalke 04 away from home in the Bundesliga on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Schalke 04 a 14% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Borussia Dortmund 62%.
GossipBall expects 0.8 goals from Schalke 04 and 1.8 from Borussia Dortmund, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 48% chance of three or more goals and a 46% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Schalke 04 keep a clean sheet in 16% of outcomes, Borussia Dortmund in 46%.
Schalke 04 are 17th in the table with 6 points from 9 games; Borussia Dortmund are 2nd with 21. In their last five league games Schalke 04 took 1 points (LLDLL) and Borussia Dortmund took 9 (DDWDW). This season Schalke 04 average 1.08 expected goals (xG) for and 2.03 against per game; Borussia Dortmund average 1.54 for and 1.38 against.
In 2 league meetings since 2022, Schalke 04 won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 Mar 2023, was a 2–2 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 0–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 0.77 for Schalke 04 and 1.84 for Borussia Dortmund.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 2 league meetings since 2022, Schalke 04 won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 Mar 2023, was a 2–2 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund?
GossipBall gives Schalke 04 a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Borussia Dortmund 62%. GossipBall makes Borussia Dortmund clear favourites to beat Schalke 04 away from home.
What is the predicted score for Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (0.8 for Schalke 04, 1.8 for Borussia Dortmund). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 0–1 (13%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Will both teams score in Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund?
GossipBall gives a 46% chance that both Schalke 04 and Borussia Dortmund score.
Will there be three or more goals in Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund?
There is a 48% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (0.8 for Schalke 04, 1.8 for Borussia Dortmund).
When is Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund?
Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Schalke 04 and Borussia Dortmund?
In 2 league meetings since 2022, Schalke 04 won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 Mar 2023, was a 2–2 draw.