BundesligaMatchday 10Saturday 21 November 2026 ·

Schalke 04 vs Stuttgart prediction

16%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.9% chance
23%
draw
60%
away win
Win probability: home 16%, draw 23%, away 60%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Stuttgart clear favourites to beat Schalke 04 away from home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC. It gives Schalke 04 a 16% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Stuttgart 60%.

GossipBall expects 0.9 goals from Schalke 04 and 1.9 from Stuttgart, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 54% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Schalke 04 keep a clean sheet in 15% of outcomes, Stuttgart in 40%.

Schalke 04 are 17th in the table with 6 points from 8 games; Stuttgart are 11th with 9. In their last five league games Schalke 04 took 2 points (DLLDL) and Stuttgart took 6 (LWLLW). This season Schalke 04 average 0.89 expected goals (xG) for and 2.05 against per game; Stuttgart average 2.02 for and 2.36 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2022, Schalke 04 won 1, Stuttgart won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 25 Feb 2023, finished Schalke 04 2–1 Stuttgart, a win for Schalke 04.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7
11
11
7
3
1
1
5
11
10
6
3
1
2
2
5
4
3
1
<1
3
<1
1
1
<1
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
Rows: Schalke 04 goalsColumns: Stuttgart goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.1%
0–210.9%
0–110.6%
1–29.9%
0–37.0%
0–06.7%
1 or more goals
93%
2 or more goals
78%
3 or more goals
54%
4 or more goals
31%
5 or more goals
16%
Both teams score
52%

GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 0.91 for Schalke 04 and 1.92 for Stuttgart.

Winning margin

Explained
Schalke 04 by 3
1%
Schalke 04 by 2
4%
Schalke 04 by 1
11%
Draw
23%
Stuttgart by 3
11%
Stuttgart by 2
19%
Stuttgart by 1
24%

Each team's goals

Explained
Schalke 04 expected goals0.91
Stuttgart expected goals1.92
Schalke 04 keep a clean sheet15%
Stuttgart keep a clean sheet40%
Schalke 04 win without conceding8%
Stuttgart win without conceding34%
Schalke 04 score 2 or more23%
Stuttgart score 2 or more57%

Recent form

Schalke 04
L v RB Leipzig0–2 · 31 Oct
D @ FC Köln0–0 · 24 Oct
L v Mainz0–1 · 17 Oct
L @ Freiburg1–2 · 11 Oct
D v Elversberg0–0 · 20 Sep
Stuttgart
W @ Bayer Leverkusen4–2 · 31 Oct
L v Gladbach2–3 · 23 Oct
L @ Hamburg0–1 · 17 Oct
W @ Paderborn2–0 · 10 Oct
L v Borussia Dortmund0–1 · 19 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 2 league meetings since 2022, Schalke 04 won 1, Stuttgart won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 25 Feb 2023, finished Schalke 04 2–1 Stuttgart, a win for Schalke 04.

Schalke 04 2–1 Stuttgart25 Feb 2023
Stuttgart 1–1 Schalke 043 Sep 2022

Season averages per game

S04VFB
0.50
Goals
1.75
1.12
Conceded
1.88
0.89
xG
2.02
2.05
xG against
2.36
9.5
Shots
16.6
2.9
On target
5.9
3.2
Corners
6.1
1.25
Yellow cards
1.50
38%
Clean sheets
12%
25%
Both score
62%
38%
3+ goals
62%

Questions and answers

Who will win Schalke 04 vs Stuttgart?

GossipBall gives Schalke 04 a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stuttgart 60%. GossipBall makes Stuttgart clear favourites to beat Schalke 04 away from home.

What is the predicted score for Schalke 04 vs Stuttgart?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (0.9 for Schalke 04, 1.9 for Stuttgart). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 0–2 (11%), 0–1 (11%).

Will both teams score in Schalke 04 vs Stuttgart?

GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Schalke 04 and Stuttgart score.

Will there be three or more goals in Schalke 04 vs Stuttgart?

There is a 54% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (0.9 for Schalke 04, 1.9 for Stuttgart).

When is Schalke 04 vs Stuttgart?

Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Schalke 04 and Stuttgart?

In 2 league meetings since 2022, Schalke 04 won 1, Stuttgart won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 25 Feb 2023, finished Schalke 04 2–1 Stuttgart, a win for Schalke 04.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC