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Stuttgart vs Union Berlin prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Stuttgart clear favourites to beat Union Berlin at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Stuttgart a 66% chance of winning, puts the draw at 20% and gives Union Berlin 14%.
GossipBall expects 2.3 goals from Stuttgart and 1.0 from Union Berlin, so goals look likely: there is a 63% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Stuttgart keep a clean sheet in 38% of outcomes, Union Berlin in 10%.
Stuttgart are 8th in the table with 12 points from 9 games; Union Berlin are 16th with 7. In their last five league games Stuttgart took 9 points (WLLWW) and Union Berlin took 6 (WDDDL). This season Stuttgart average 1.88 expected goals (xG) for and 2.25 against per game; Union Berlin average 0.97 for and 1.98 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Stuttgart won 3, Union Berlin won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 2.27 for Stuttgart and 0.97 for Union Berlin.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Stuttgart won 3, Union Berlin won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Stuttgart vs Union Berlin?
GossipBall gives Stuttgart a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Union Berlin 14%. GossipBall makes Stuttgart clear favourites to beat Union Berlin at home.
What is the predicted score for Stuttgart vs Union Berlin?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.3 for Stuttgart, 1.0 for Union Berlin). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Stuttgart vs Union Berlin?
GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both Stuttgart and Union Berlin score.
Will there be three or more goals in Stuttgart vs Union Berlin?
There is a 63% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (2.3 for Stuttgart, 1.0 for Union Berlin).
When is Stuttgart vs Union Berlin?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Stuttgart and Union Berlin?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Stuttgart won 3, Union Berlin won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.