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Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes RB Leipzig favourites to beat Union Berlin away from home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Union Berlin a 22% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives RB Leipzig 53%.
GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Union Berlin and 1.8 from RB Leipzig, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 56% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Union Berlin keep a clean sheet in 16% of outcomes, RB Leipzig in 34%.
Union Berlin are 16th in the table with 7 points from 8 games; RB Leipzig are 4th with 15. In their last five league games Union Berlin took 6 points (LWDDD) and RB Leipzig took 9 (LWLWW). This season Union Berlin average 1.05 expected goals (xG) for and 1.91 against per game; RB Leipzig average 2.53 for and 1.45 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Union Berlin won 5, RB Leipzig won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Apr 2026, finished RB Leipzig 3–1 Union Berlin, a win for RB Leipzig.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.09 for Union Berlin and 1.81 for RB Leipzig.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Union Berlin won 5, RB Leipzig won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Apr 2026, finished RB Leipzig 3–1 Union Berlin, a win for RB Leipzig.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
GossipBall gives Union Berlin a 22% chance of winning, the draw 25% and RB Leipzig 53%. GossipBall makes RB Leipzig favourites to beat Union Berlin away from home.
What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.1 for Union Berlin, 1.8 for RB Leipzig). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both Union Berlin and RB Leipzig score.
Will there be three or more goals in Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
There is a 56% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.1 for Union Berlin, 1.8 for RB Leipzig).
When is Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 14:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Union Berlin won 5, RB Leipzig won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Apr 2026, finished RB Leipzig 3–1 Union Berlin, a win for RB Leipzig.