BundesligaMatchday 11Friday 27 November 2026 ·

Werder Bremen vs Gladbach prediction

45%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.2% chance
26%
draw
30%
away win
Win probability: home 45%, draw 26%, away 30%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Werder Bremen slight favourites to beat Gladbach at home in the Bundesliga on Friday 27 November 2026 at 19:30 UTC. It gives Werder Bremen a 45% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Gladbach 30%.

GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Werder Bremen and 1.3 from Gladbach, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 57% chance of three or more goals and a 60% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Werder Bremen keep a clean sheet in 27% of outcomes, Gladbach in 19%.

Werder Bremen are 6th in the table with 15 points from 9 games; Gladbach are 18th with 4. In their last five league games Werder Bremen took 8 points (DDWWL) and Gladbach took 4 (LLWDL). This season Werder Bremen average 1.67 expected goals (xG) for and 1.47 against per game; Gladbach average 1.63 for and 2.18 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Werder Bremen won 2, Gladbach won 2 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6
6
4
2
<1
<1
1
8
12
7
3
1
<1
2
7
9
6
3
<1
<1
3
4
5
3
1
<1
<1
4
2
2
1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Werder Bremen goalsColumns: Gladbach goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.0%
2–19.2%
1–07.6%
1–27.3%
2–07.0%
2–26.1%
1 or more goals
94%
2 or more goals
81%
3 or more goals
57%
4 or more goals
35%
5 or more goals
18%
Both teams score
60%

GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.66 for Werder Bremen and 1.32 for Gladbach.

Winning margin

Explained
Werder Bremen by 3
7%
Werder Bremen by 2
14%
Werder Bremen by 1
21%
Draw
26%
Gladbach by 3
3%
Gladbach by 2
9%
Gladbach by 1
16%

Each team's goals

Explained
Werder Bremen expected goals1.66
Gladbach expected goals1.32
Werder Bremen keep a clean sheet27%
Gladbach keep a clean sheet19%
Werder Bremen win without conceding21%
Gladbach win without conceding13%
Werder Bremen score 2 or more49%
Gladbach score 2 or more38%

Recent form

Werder Bremen
L @ Stuttgart0–1 · 7 Nov
W v Hoffenheim2–0 · 31 Oct
W @ Mainz3–2 · 24 Oct
D v Paderborn2–2 · 17 Oct
D @ Borussia Dortmund2–2 · 9 Oct
Gladbach
L @ Hamburg1–3 · 6 Nov
D v Paderborn0–0 · 31 Oct
W @ Stuttgart3–2 · 23 Oct
L v Hoffenheim1–2 · 18 Oct
L @ FC Köln1–2 · 11 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Werder Bremen won 2, Gladbach won 2 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

Werder Bremen 1–1 Gladbach31 Jan 2026
Gladbach 0–4 Werder Bremen14 Sep 2025
Werder Bremen 2–4 Gladbach15 Mar 2025
Gladbach 4–1 Werder Bremen3 Nov 2024
Werder Bremen 2–2 Gladbach4 May 2024
Gladbach 2–2 Werder Bremen15 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

SVWBMG
1.89
Goals
1.33
1.67
Conceded
2.78
1.67
xG
1.63
1.47
xG against
2.18
15.7
Shots
15.3
6.4
On target
4.8
4.4
Corners
5.3
1.44
Yellow cards
3.11
11%
Clean sheets
11%
78%
Both score
67%
67%
3+ goals
89%

Questions and answers

Who will win Werder Bremen vs Gladbach?

GossipBall gives Werder Bremen a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gladbach 30%. GossipBall makes Werder Bremen slight favourites to beat Gladbach at home.

What is the predicted score for Werder Bremen vs Gladbach?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Werder Bremen, 1.3 for Gladbach). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).

Will both teams score in Werder Bremen vs Gladbach?

GossipBall gives a 60% chance that both Werder Bremen and Gladbach score.

Will there be three or more goals in Werder Bremen vs Gladbach?

There is a 57% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.7 for Werder Bremen, 1.3 for Gladbach).

When is Werder Bremen vs Gladbach?

Kick-off is Friday 27 November 2026 at 19:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Werder Bremen and Gladbach?

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Werder Bremen won 2, Gladbach won 2 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC