Champions LeagueMatchday 5Tuesday 24 November 2026 ·

Como vs PAE AEK prediction

94%
home win
predicted score
5–0
9.2% chance
5%
draw
PAE AEK
2%
away win
Win probability: home 94%, draw 5%, away 2%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Como clear favourites to beat PAE AEK at home in the Champions League on Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Como a 94% chance of winning, puts the draw at 5% and gives PAE AEK 2%.

GossipBall expects 4.2 goals from Como and 0.6 from PAE AEK, so goals look likely: there is a 85% chance of three or more goals and a 43% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 5–0. Como keep a clean sheet in 57% of outcomes, PAE AEK in 2%.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
<1
<1
<1
1
4
2
<1
<1
2
8
4
1
<1
3
11
6
2
<1
4
11
6
2
<1
5
9
5
1
<1
Rows: Como goalsColumns: PAE AEK goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 4–0 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

4–011.1%
3–010.6%
5–09.2%
2–07.7%
6–06.4%
4–16.3%
1 or more goals
99%
2 or more goals
95%
3 or more goals
85%
4 or more goals
69%
5 or more goals
51%
Both teams score
43%

GossipBall expects 4.7 goals in total: 4.16 for Como and 0.57 for PAE AEK.

Winning margin

Explained
Como by 3
19%
Como by 2
16%
Como by 1
10%
Draw
5%
PAE AEK by 3
0%
PAE AEK by 2
0%
PAE AEK by 1
1%

Each team's goals

Explained
Como expected goals4.16
PAE AEK expected goals0.57
Como keep a clean sheet57%
PAE AEK keep a clean sheet2%
Como win without conceding56%
PAE AEK win without conceding1%
Como score 2 or more92%
PAE AEK score 2 or more11%

Questions and answers

Who will win Como vs PAE AEK?

GossipBall gives Como a 94% chance of winning, the draw 5% and PAE AEK 2%. GossipBall makes Como clear favourites to beat PAE AEK at home.

What is the predicted score for Como vs PAE AEK?

GossipBall's predicted score is 5–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (4.2 for Como, 0.6 for PAE AEK). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 4–0 (11%), 3–0 (11%), 5–0 (9%).

Will both teams score in Como vs PAE AEK?

GossipBall gives a 43% chance that both Como and PAE AEK score.

Will there be three or more goals in Como vs PAE AEK?

There is a 85% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 4.7 goals in total (4.2 for Como, 0.6 for PAE AEK).

When is Como vs PAE AEK?

Kick-off is Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC