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RB Leipzig vs Lens prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes RB Leipzig clear favourites to beat Lens at home in the Champions League on Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives RB Leipzig a 74% chance of winning, puts the draw at 15% and gives Lens 11%.
GossipBall expects 2.8 goals from RB Leipzig and 1.0 from Lens, so goals look likely: there is a 73% chance of three or more goals and a 60% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1. RB Leipzig keep a clean sheet in 36% of outcomes, Lens in 6%.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–1 (9%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.8 goals in total: 2.76 for RB Leipzig and 1.01 for Lens.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedQuestions and answers
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Lens?
GossipBall gives RB Leipzig a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Lens 11%. GossipBall makes RB Leipzig clear favourites to beat Lens at home.
What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig vs Lens?
GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.8 for RB Leipzig, 1.0 for Lens). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%), 3–1 (8%).
Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs Lens?
GossipBall gives a 60% chance that both RB Leipzig and Lens score.
Will there be three or more goals in RB Leipzig vs Lens?
There is a 73% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.8 goals in total (2.8 for RB Leipzig, 1.0 for Lens).
When is RB Leipzig vs Lens?
Kick-off is Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.