Champions LeagueMatchday 5Wednesday 25 November 2026 ·

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe SK prediction

FK Shakhtar Donetsk
60%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.9% chance
21%
draw
19%
away win
Win probability: home 60%, draw 21%, away 19%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes FK Shakhtar Donetsk favourites to beat Fenerbahçe SK at home in the Champions League on Wednesday 25 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives FK Shakhtar Donetsk a 60% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Fenerbahçe SK 19%.

GossipBall expects 2.1 goals from FK Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.1 from Fenerbahçe SK, so goals look likely: there is a 63% chance of three or more goals and a 60% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. FK Shakhtar Donetsk keep a clean sheet in 33% of outcomes, Fenerbahçe SK in 12%.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 11 November 2026, 06:07 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
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Rows: FK Shakhtar Donetsk goalsColumns: Fenerbahçe SK goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how).

Most common scorelines

2–19.9%
1–19.8%
2–08.8%
1–07.8%
3–17.0%
3–06.2%
1 or more goals
96%
2 or more goals
84%
3 or more goals
63%
4 or more goals
41%
5 or more goals
23%
Both teams score
60%

GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 2.12 for FK Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.12 for Fenerbahçe SK.

Winning margin

Explained
FK Shakhtar Donetsk by 3
11%
FK Shakhtar Donetsk by 2
18%
FK Shakhtar Donetsk by 1
22%
Draw
21%
Fenerbahçe SK by 3
2%
Fenerbahçe SK by 2
5%
Fenerbahçe SK by 1
12%

Each team's goals

Explained
FK Shakhtar Donetsk expected goals2.12
Fenerbahçe SK expected goals1.12
FK Shakhtar Donetsk keep a clean sheet33%
Fenerbahçe SK keep a clean sheet12%
FK Shakhtar Donetsk win without conceding28%
Fenerbahçe SK win without conceding8%
FK Shakhtar Donetsk score 2 or more63%
Fenerbahçe SK score 2 or more31%

Questions and answers

Who will win FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe SK?

GossipBall gives FK Shakhtar Donetsk a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fenerbahçe SK 19%. GossipBall makes FK Shakhtar Donetsk favourites to beat Fenerbahçe SK at home.

What is the predicted score for FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe SK?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.1 for FK Shakhtar Donetsk, 1.1 for Fenerbahçe SK). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%).

Will both teams score in FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe SK?

GossipBall gives a 60% chance that both FK Shakhtar Donetsk and Fenerbahçe SK score.

Will there be three or more goals in FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe SK?

There is a 63% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (2.1 for FK Shakhtar Donetsk, 1.1 for Fenerbahçe SK).

When is FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe SK?

Kick-off is Wednesday 25 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 11 November 2026, 06:07 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 11 November 2026, 06:07 UTC