Champions LeagueMatchday 6Tuesday 8 December 2026 ·

Manchester United vs RB Leipzig prediction

predicted score
3–1
7.3% chance
20%
draw
20%
away win
Win probability: home 61%, draw 20%, away 20%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Manchester United clear favourites to beat RB Leipzig at home in the Champions League on Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Manchester United a 61% chance of winning, puts the draw at 20% and gives RB Leipzig 20%.

GossipBall expects 2.4 goals from Manchester United and 1.3 from RB Leipzig, so goals look likely: there is a 72% chance of three or more goals and a 67% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1. Manchester United keep a clean sheet in 26% of outcomes, RB Leipzig in 9%.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
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Rows: Manchester United goalsColumns: RB Leipzig goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–1 (9%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

2–19.2%
1–18.1%
3–17.3%
2–06.9%
2–26.1%
3–05.5%
1 or more goals
97%
2 or more goals
89%
3 or more goals
72%
4 or more goals
51%
5 or more goals
32%
Both teams score
67%

GossipBall expects 3.7 goals in total: 2.39 for Manchester United and 1.33 for RB Leipzig.

Winning margin

Explained
Manchester United by 3
12%
Manchester United by 2
18%
Manchester United by 1
21%
Draw
20%
RB Leipzig by 3
2%
RB Leipzig by 2
6%
RB Leipzig by 1
12%

Each team's goals

Explained
Manchester United expected goals2.39
RB Leipzig expected goals1.33
Manchester United keep a clean sheet26%
RB Leipzig keep a clean sheet9%
Manchester United win without conceding24%
RB Leipzig win without conceding6%
Manchester United score 2 or more69%
RB Leipzig score 2 or more38%

Questions and answers

Who will win Manchester United vs RB Leipzig?

GossipBall gives Manchester United a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and RB Leipzig 20%. GossipBall makes Manchester United clear favourites to beat RB Leipzig at home.

What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs RB Leipzig?

GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.4 for Manchester United, 1.3 for RB Leipzig). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 3–1 (7%).

Will both teams score in Manchester United vs RB Leipzig?

GossipBall gives a 67% chance that both Manchester United and RB Leipzig score.

Will there be three or more goals in Manchester United vs RB Leipzig?

There is a 72% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.7 goals in total (2.4 for Manchester United, 1.3 for RB Leipzig).

When is Manchester United vs RB Leipzig?

Kick-off is Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC