Champions LeagueMatchday 6Wednesday 9 December 2026 ·

Lens vs FK Bodø/Glimt prediction

42%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.8% chance
25%
draw
FK Bodø/Glimt
34%
away win
Win probability: home 42%, draw 25%, away 34%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Lens slight favourites to beat FK Bodø/Glimt at home in the Champions League on Wednesday 9 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Lens a 42% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives FK Bodø/Glimt 34%.

GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Lens and 1.5 from FK Bodø/Glimt, so goals look likely: there is a 60% chance of three or more goals and a 63% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Lens keep a clean sheet in 23% of outcomes, FK Bodø/Glimt in 19%.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
6
5
2
<1
<1
1
7
11
8
4
1
<1
2
6
9
6
3
1
<1
3
3
5
4
2
<1
<1
4
1
2
1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Lens goalsColumns: FK Bodø/Glimt goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.3%
2–18.8%
1–27.9%
1–06.8%
2–26.5%
2–06.0%
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
82%
3 or more goals
60%
4 or more goals
38%
5 or more goals
20%
Both teams score
63%

GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total: 1.65 for Lens and 1.47 for FK Bodø/Glimt.

Winning margin

Explained
Lens by 3
6%
Lens by 2
13%
Lens by 1
20%
Draw
25%
FK Bodø/Glimt by 3
4%
FK Bodø/Glimt by 2
10%
FK Bodø/Glimt by 1
18%

Each team's goals

Explained
Lens expected goals1.65
FK Bodø/Glimt expected goals1.47
Lens keep a clean sheet23%
FK Bodø/Glimt keep a clean sheet19%
Lens win without conceding18%
FK Bodø/Glimt win without conceding14%
Lens score 2 or more49%
FK Bodø/Glimt score 2 or more43%

Questions and answers

Who will win Lens vs FK Bodø/Glimt?

GossipBall gives Lens a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FK Bodø/Glimt 34%. GossipBall makes Lens slight favourites to beat FK Bodø/Glimt at home.

What is the predicted score for Lens vs FK Bodø/Glimt?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Lens, 1.5 for FK Bodø/Glimt). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).

Will both teams score in Lens vs FK Bodø/Glimt?

GossipBall gives a 63% chance that both Lens and FK Bodø/Glimt score.

Will there be three or more goals in Lens vs FK Bodø/Glimt?

There is a 60% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (1.6 for Lens, 1.5 for FK Bodø/Glimt).

When is Lens vs FK Bodø/Glimt?

Kick-off is Wednesday 9 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC