Birmingham vs Derby result and stats
Win probability: home 42%, draw 27%, away 31%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersBirmingham and Derby drew 1–1 in the Championship on Friday 26 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Birmingham 42%, the draw 27% and Derby 31%, so a draw had a 27% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
BIDE
25Shots5
9On target1
12Corners1
17Fouls13
3Yellow cards1
1Red cards1
0Half-time goals1
Referee: B Toner
Recent form
Birmingham
L @ Sheffield United0–3 · 20 Dec
D v Charlton1–1 · 13 Dec
L @ QPR1–2 · 9 Dec
L @ Southampton1–3 · 6 Dec
W v Watford2–1 · 1 Dec
Derby
D v Portsmouth1–1 · 20 Dec
W @ Sheffield Wednesday3–0 · 15 Dec
D v Millwall1–1 · 10 Dec
L v Leicester1–3 · 6 Dec
L @ Middlesbrough1–2 · 29 Nov
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2021, Birmingham won 1, Derby won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 30 Jan 2022, was a 2–2 draw.
Derby 2–2 Birmingham30 Jan 2022
Birmingham 2–0 Derby10 Sep 2021