Birmingham vs Southampton result and stats
Win probability: home 35%, draw 24%, away 41%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersBirmingham and Southampton drew 1–1 in the Championship on Monday 29 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Birmingham 35%, the draw 24% and Southampton 41%, so a draw had a 24% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
BISO
20Shots13
4On target5
2Corners5
10Fouls15
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Referee: M Donohue
Recent form
Birmingham
D v Derby1–1 · 26 Dec
L @ Sheffield United0–3 · 20 Dec
D v Charlton1–1 · 13 Dec
L @ QPR1–2 · 9 Dec
L @ Southampton1–3 · 6 Dec
Southampton
L @ Oxford1–2 · 26 Dec
D v Coventry1–1 · 20 Dec
L @ Norwich1–2 · 13 Dec
W v West Brom3–2 · 9 Dec
W v Birmingham3–1 · 6 Dec
Head to head
In 3 league meetings since 2023, Birmingham won 0, Southampton won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 6 Dec 2025, finished Southampton 3–1 Birmingham, a win for Southampton.
Southampton 3–1 Birmingham6 Dec 2025
Birmingham 3–4 Southampton2 Mar 2024
Southampton 3–1 Birmingham28 Oct 2023