Birmingham vs Stoke result and stats
Win probability: home 41%, draw 29%, away 30%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersBirmingham and Stoke drew 1–1 in the Championship on Saturday 24 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Birmingham 41%, the draw 29% and Stoke 30%, so a draw had a 29% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
BIST
18Shots7
5On target1
6Corners6
7Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Referee: J Bell
Recent form
Birmingham
W @ Sheffield Wednesday2–0 · 20 Jan
D @ Swansea1–1 · 17 Jan
W v Coventry3–2 · 4 Jan
L @ Watford0–3 · 1 Jan
D v Southampton1–1 · 29 Dec
Stoke
L v Middlesbrough1–2 · 21 Jan
D v QPR0–0 · 17 Jan
W @ Norwich2–0 · 4 Jan
W @ Hull1–0 · 1 Jan
L v Sheffield United1–2 · 29 Dec
Head to head
In 7 league meetings since 2021, Birmingham won 2, Stoke won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 Sep 2025, finished Stoke 1–0 Birmingham, a win for Stoke.
Stoke 1–0 Birmingham13 Sep 2025
Stoke 1–2 Birmingham20 Jan 2024
Birmingham 1–3 Stoke26 Dec 2023
Birmingham 0–0 Stoke10 Apr 2023
Stoke 1–2 Birmingham5 Nov 2022
Stoke 2–2 Birmingham19 Feb 2022