Birmingham vs Watford result and stats
Win probability: home 44%, draw 26%, away 30%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersBirmingham beat Watford 2–1 at home in the Championship on Monday 1 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Birmingham 44%, the draw 26% and Watford 30%, so a home win had a 44% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
BIWA
13Shots12
5On target4
6Corners6
11Fouls10
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Referee: A Herczeg
Recent form
Birmingham
D @ West Brom1–1 · 26 Nov
W v Norwich4–1 · 22 Nov
L @ Middlesbrough1–2 · 8 Nov
W v Millwall4–0 · 4 Nov
W v Portsmouth4–0 · 1 Nov
Watford
D v Preston1–1 · 25 Nov
W @ Derby3–2 · 22 Nov
D v Bristol City1–1 · 7 Nov
D @ Ipswich1–1 · 4 Nov
W v Middlesbrough3–0 · 1 Nov
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2022, Birmingham won 0, Watford won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 Mar 2024, finished Birmingham 0–1 Watford, a win for Watford.
Birmingham 0–1 Watford16 Mar 2024
Watford 2–0 Birmingham16 Sep 2023
Watford 3–0 Birmingham14 Mar 2023
Birmingham 1–1 Watford16 Aug 2022