GossipBall
ChampionshipMonday 1 December 2025 ·

Birmingham vs Watford result and stats

44%
test home win
2–1
full time
26%
draw
30%
test away win
Win probability: home 44%, draw 26%, away 30%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Birmingham beat Watford 2–1 at home in the Championship on Monday 1 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Birmingham 44%, the draw 26% and Watford 30%, so a home win had a 44% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

BIWA
13
Shots
12
5
On target
4
6
Corners
6
11
Fouls
10
3
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
2
Half-time goals
0

Referee: A Herczeg

Recent form

Birmingham
D @ West Brom1–1 · 26 Nov
W v Norwich4–1 · 22 Nov
L @ Middlesbrough1–2 · 8 Nov
W v Millwall4–0 · 4 Nov
W v Portsmouth4–0 · 1 Nov
Watford
D v Preston1–1 · 25 Nov
W @ Derby3–2 · 22 Nov
D v Bristol City1–1 · 7 Nov
D @ Ipswich1–1 · 4 Nov
W v Middlesbrough3–0 · 1 Nov

Head to head

In 4 league meetings since 2022, Birmingham won 0, Watford won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 Mar 2024, finished Birmingham 0–1 Watford, a win for Watford.

Birmingham 0–1 Watford16 Mar 2024
Watford 2–0 Birmingham16 Sep 2023
Watford 3–0 Birmingham14 Mar 2023
Birmingham 1–1 Watford16 Aug 2022

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]