Derby vs Birmingham result and stats
Win probability: home 47%, draw 27%, away 26%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersDerby beat Birmingham 1–0 at home in the Championship on Saturday 21 March 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Derby 47%, the draw 27% and Birmingham 26%, so a home win had a 47% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
DEBI
17Shots3
6On target0
6Corners2
12Fouls16
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Referee: G Ward
Recent form
Derby
W @ Portsmouth1–0 · 16 Mar
L @ Millwall0–1 · 10 Mar
W v Sheffield Wednesday2–1 · 7 Mar
W v Blackburn3–1 · 28 Feb
L @ Hull2–4 · 24 Feb
Birmingham
D v Sheffield United1–1 · 14 Mar
W v QPR1–0 · 11 Mar
L @ Charlton0–1 · 7 Mar
L v Middlesbrough1–3 · 2 Mar
L @ Millwall0–3 · 25 Feb
Head to head
In 3 league meetings since 2021, Derby won 0, Birmingham won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Dec 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
Birmingham 1–1 Derby26 Dec 2025
Derby 2–2 Birmingham30 Jan 2022
Birmingham 2–0 Derby10 Sep 2021