Derby vs Middlesbrough result and stats
Win probability: home 36%, draw 26%, away 37%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersDerby beat Middlesbrough 1–0 at home in the Championship on Thursday 1 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Derby 36%, the draw 26% and Middlesbrough 37%, so a home win had a 36% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
DEMI
7Shots19
3On target5
4Corners9
12Fouls9
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Referee: R Ricardo
Recent form
Derby
L @ Leicester1–2 · 29 Dec
D @ Birmingham1–1 · 26 Dec
D v Portsmouth1–1 · 20 Dec
W @ Sheffield Wednesday3–0 · 15 Dec
D v Millwall1–1 · 10 Dec
Middlesbrough
L v Hull0–1 · 29 Dec
D v Blackburn0–0 · 26 Dec
L @ Bristol City0–2 · 20 Dec
W v QPR3–1 · 13 Dec
W @ Charlton2–1 · 9 Dec
Head to head
In 5 league meetings since 2021, Derby won 1, Middlesbrough won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 29 Nov 2025, finished Middlesbrough 2–1 Derby, a win for Middlesbrough.
Middlesbrough 2–1 Derby29 Nov 2025
Middlesbrough 1–0 Derby1 Mar 2025
Derby 1–0 Middlesbrough17 Aug 2024
Middlesbrough 4–1 Derby12 Feb 2022
Derby 0–0 Middlesbrough21 Aug 2021