Derby vs Millwall result and stats
Win probability: home 43%, draw 29%, away 29%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersDerby and Millwall drew 1–1 in the Championship on Wednesday 10 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Derby 43%, the draw 29% and Millwall 29%, so a draw had a 29% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
DEMI
13Shots12
4On target2
11Corners7
9Fouls13
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Referee: T Kirk
Recent form
Derby
L v Leicester1–3 · 6 Dec
L @ Middlesbrough1–2 · 29 Nov
W @ Swansea2–1 · 25 Nov
L v Watford2–3 · 22 Nov
W @ Blackburn2–1 · 8 Nov
Millwall
W @ Bristol City1–0 · 6 Dec
W v Southampton3–2 · 29 Nov
W v Sheffield Wednesday1–0 · 26 Nov
L @ Portsmouth1–3 · 22 Nov
D v Preston1–1 · 8 Nov
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Derby won 0, Millwall won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2025, finished Derby 0–1 Millwall, a win for Millwall.
Derby 0–1 Millwall22 Feb 2025
Millwall 1–1 Derby19 Oct 2024
Derby 1–2 Millwall23 Feb 2022
Millwall 1–1 Derby6 Nov 2021