Derby vs Swansea result and stats
Win probability: home 46%, draw 27%, away 27%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersDerby beat Swansea 2–0 at home in the Championship on Saturday 14 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Derby 46%, the draw 27% and Swansea 27%, so a home win had a 46% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
DESW
11Shots15
6On target2
6Corners2
20Fouls12
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Referee: A Kitchen
Recent form
Derby
L v Ipswich1–2 · 7 Feb
W @ Bristol City5–0 · 30 Jan
D v West Brom1–1 · 23 Jan
W @ Charlton2–1 · 20 Jan
W @ Preston1–0 · 17 Jan
Swansea
W v Sheffield Wednesday4–0 · 8 Feb
W @ Watford2–0 · 31 Jan
L @ Hull1–2 · 24 Jan
W v Blackburn3–1 · 20 Jan
D v Birmingham1–1 · 17 Jan
Head to head
In 5 league meetings since 2021, Derby won 1, Swansea won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 25 Nov 2025, finished Swansea 1–2 Derby, a win for Derby.
Swansea 1–2 Derby25 Nov 2025
Swansea 1–0 Derby5 Apr 2025
Derby 1–2 Swansea27 Nov 2024
Swansea 2–1 Derby9 Apr 2022
Derby 0–0 Swansea2 Oct 2021